Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.427148 5.720394e-01 0.739340 0.943744 1.183720 1.453659 1.777354
2025-04-20 0.228826 3.965641e-01 0.621828 0.932034 1.334112 1.824593 2.454854
2025-04-27 0.121242 2.831557e-01 0.538339 0.931425 1.485708 2.206536 3.181584
2025-05-04 0.055206 1.904964e-01 0.447719 0.892475 1.571439 2.505736 3.825289
2025-05-11 0.021449 1.255281e-01 0.371832 0.850716 1.637826 2.775963 4.442819
2025-05-18 0.008091 9.023055e-02 0.332548 0.854757 1.766048 3.135067 5.195022
2025-05-25 0.001734 5.886101e-02 0.282827 0.824534 1.830620 3.400621 5.825549
2025-06-01 0.000409 4.777469e-02 0.277368 0.876746 2.033862 3.881140 6.778323
2025-06-08 0.000006 3.355536e-02 0.251982 0.879941 2.149648 4.230980 7.552668
2025-06-15 NaN 2.929467e-02 0.257976 0.953065 2.394810 4.791982 8.653230
2025-06-22 NaN 2.339454e-02 0.252594 0.997567 2.589220 5.278859 9.656522
2025-06-29 NaN 1.694915e-02 0.237735 1.014815 2.731985 5.686583 10.550895
2025-07-06 NaN 9.720918e-03 0.207153 0.985531 2.785780 5.957857 11.258402
2025-07-13 NaN 6.166979e-03 0.192254 0.995063 2.916651 6.362113 12.181665
2025-07-20 NaN 3.735444e-03 0.179096 1.005866 3.049919 6.774468 13.127371
2025-07-27 NaN 1.495526e-03 0.153839 0.970662 3.082313 7.014348 13.809012
2025-08-03 NaN 3.911199e-04 0.129752 0.929402 3.095557 7.219036 14.438060
2025-08-10 NaN 1.096784e-04 0.119826 0.935266 3.212685 7.609426 15.370385
2025-08-17 NaN 2.347360e-06 0.102235 0.903919 3.240851 7.840443 16.050457
2025-08-24 NaN 1.781097e-07 0.105267 0.959921 3.477133 8.454331 17.361711
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.096998 0.963551 3.588487 8.843068 18.313084
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.104416 1.041419 3.883455 9.575845 19.838188
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.105322 1.088748 4.106077 10.179774 21.160469